The company is the trading subsidiary of the Trust, which is a registered charity.
The Trust arranges conferences on new thinking in economics.
Our next conference:
Economic Policies Since The Global Financial Crisis
Thursday 30 March 2017
at St Catharine's College,
Our next workshop:
A Workshop on "Large-scale modelling of monetary policy in Energy, Environment and Economy models", 22-23 September 2016, is to be held at Madingley Hall, Cambridge. The workshop is organized by the Cambridge Trust for New Thinking in Economics.
Madingley Hall is a country house located in beautiful countryside just outside Cambridge and within easy reach of Stansted Airport.
For more details contact Annela Anger-Kraavi
Cambridge Econometrics: providing specialist support to professional service companies
Cambridge Econometrics offers a wide range of skills and expertise with which to support the work of professional service companies. Please download this brochure for more information.
Cambridge Econometrics is a leading independent consultancy specialising in applied economic modelling and data analysis techniques. We aim to provide rigorous, accessible and relevant independent economic analysis to support strategic planners and policy-makers in business and government, doing work that we are interested in and can be proud of (see more on our origins and ethos).
Our work covers a number of thematic areas of interest, encompassing the UK, Europe and global areas in our analysis. We also produce economic forecasts at macro, sectoral and regional levels, with a portfolio covering the UK and Europe, delivered through our client-access Knowledge Base.
This page shows a selection of some of our recent work. You can access the full range through the site menus. You can also follow us on LinkedIn.
Cambridge Econometrics’ report Oil Market Futures has been awarded LowCVP’s Low Carbon Publication 2016
The Low Carbon Vehicle Partnership (LowCVP) announced the 2016 Low Carbon Champions last night at the industry’s leading networking dinner, held in association with Cenex and LCV2016, in Milton Keynes. The Champions Awards celebrate achievement and innovation in low carbon road transport. Cambridge Econometrics, in collaboration with the International Council for Clean Transportation and Poyry Management Consulting has been awarded the award for Low Carbon Publication 2016 for the report Oil Market Futures.
For more details, click here.
Potential economic impacts of Brexit
The UK is now feeling the short-term ramifications of the Brexit vote and there is now uncertainty around when and how Article 50 will be triggered. Economists expect this uncertainty to dampen growth in the short term. The UK's longer-term prospects depend heavily on the nature of the trade deals the UK will strike with the EU and the rest of the world. Nevertheless, the consensus is that the potential economic losses will ultimately outweigh any economic gains.
In this note, we summarise recent developments and the potential future impacts of Brexit.
Cambridge Econometrics applies its models and quantitative approaches to carry out in-depth and objective economic assessments. This includes UK analysis that accounts for the interdependencies in the modern global economy. This work also extends to individual sectors and geographic regions.
We will publish elements of this analysis on our website. If you are interested in the detail or want to discuss how we can provide you with specific economic analysis, please contact Chris Thoung at email@example.com.
Cambridge Econometrics' position following the UK's vote to leave the European Union
Life after the Brexit vote presents a challenge to research-based consultancies with an international staff serving an international market. The outcome of the referendum cast uncertainty over the future relationship of the UK with the European Union and, indeed, the rest of the world. As a company Cambridge Econometrics has always been, and will remain, an outward-looking business with a strong network of partners throughout Europe and, increasingly, across the wider world. In the face of Brexit, we will look to strengthen these relationships with partners and not retreat from them; we will look to build our presence in Europe, not allow it to diminish; and we will continue to deliver our brand of clear evidence-based analysis to support policy-making in the UK, in the European Union, and elsewhere in the world.
The result of the referendum also highlights the considerable challenges that policy makers face in the UK: in particular rising income inequality, economic uncertainty, pressures on public services and the lack of social mobility. Cambridge Econometrics remains committed to support UK policy makers at the national, regional, city and local level with the relevant and rigorous analysis needed to respond to these challenges.
Evaluation scoping study for the Agri-tech strategy
The UK Government’s Agri-Tech Strategy was one of eleven industrial strategies published by BIS in 2013. This project, led by SQW, developed methods to evaluate the strategy at some point in the future. SQW led the work to review the candidate methodologies and recommend a suitable approach to evaluation. CE led the work to establish a baseline on the historical performance of the agri-tech sector and develop baseline projections out to 2028 against which future performance can be compared.
The published report is available here.
Oil import dependency in the EU
Cambridge Econometrics (CE) was commissioned by Transport and Environment (T&E) to assess oil import dependency in the EU. The study examined the EU’s exposure to security of supply risks through its oil imports and estimated the proportion of oil that is imported from non-European companies. The study finds that the EU’s dependency on crude oil and refined fuel imports is high and rising. Much of this oil comes from geopolitically unstable regions. This makes the EU economy, particularly its transport sector, vulnerable to supply and price shocks.
The final report is available here.
The interactive web tool is available here.
Northern Powerhouse Independent Economic Review launched
Richard Lewney was the lead economist for the Northern Powerhouse Independent Economic Review (NPIER), prepared by CE in partnership with SQW, and he presented at the launch in Liverpool on 30 June. The event included contributions by Lord O’Neill (HM Treasury), Northern Powerhouse Minister James Wharton MP, Sir Richard Leese (Leader of Manchester City Council) and John Cridland (Chair of Transport for the North).
The NPIER reviewed the nature of the North’s performance gap and the factors driving it, identified the North’s existing and emerging assets and capabilities, and set out scenarios for the North’s future in which transformative investment in skills, transport infrastructure and other economic drivers promote a long-term improvement in the North’s economic performance.
It provided a key input to the development of Transport for the North's infrastructure plans.
The report is available here.
UNEP Finance Initiative report examines the link between environmental risks and sovereign credit ratings
What happens when increasing populations and incomes lead to higher demand for resource-intensive food while climate change and resource scarcity disrupt food supply? A new report released today by the UNEP Finance Initiative and Global Footprint Initiative, with the quantitative analysis undertaken by Cambridge Econometrics, finds that this growing imbalance of food demand and supply will lead to higher food prices and food price volatility, ultimately resulting in material impacts on national economies. The report models the impact of a global food price shock on 110 countries to assess which countries face the greatest economic risk from the growing imbalance between food supply and demand. It summarizes the results in a ranking of countries according to impact on GDP and other macro indicators. The report was launched on 18 May at an event at the London offices of S&P Global Ratings, a partner in the project.
The report is available here.
UKCES publishes Working Futures 2014-24
The UK Commission for Employment and Skills (UKCES) has published the latest iteration of the Working Futures series of reports and forecasts – Working Futures 2014-24. This major project was again undertaken by a team from Cambridge Econometrics and the Warwick Institute for Employment Research. The Working Futures series has developed a reputation for credible and comprehensive employment projections for the UK and its nations and regions. It meets a need within government, its partners and stakeholders, and among employers and individuals in the labour market, for information on current and future labour market trends to inform decision-making. The project drew on CE's long experience in modelling economic and labour market trends in the UK, its nations and regions, and its local areas and on our high quality databases. This edition included the provision of results for Local Enterprise Partnerships areas in England, Economic Areas in Wales, Regional Skills Assessment areas in Scotland and Workforce Development Forum areas in Northern Ireland.
The reports from the study can be found here.
For more information contact Mike May-Gillings.
Improving environmental policy assessment by incorporating the insights of behavioural and complexity sciences
This new paper lays out an advanced inter-disciplinary approach to environmental policy assessment that goes far beyond existing standard practice. It shows how traditional assessment methodologies adopt an unrealistic view of how people behave and suggests the widespread adoption of a new generation of modelling tools that incorporate insights from behavioural and complexity sciences, combined with in-depth policy and legal assessment. The result is a better understanding of how policy can address the drivers of and obstacles to take-up of innovations that can tackle environmental degradation. The paper includes findings from CE’s global model and addresses many of the issues about existing Integrated Assessment Models that have been raised recently by Lord Stern.