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Sudhir Junankar Associate Director BSc (LSE) |
As Manager of CE's UK Energy-Environment Service, Sudhir Junankar manages the use of MDM, CE's energy-environment-economy model of the UK economy, to implement studies exploring the outcome for energy demand, emissions and the UK economy in a wide range of scenarios, drawing on his earlier experience as an economist in the UK electricity industry. He also contributes his sectoral and regional expertise to CE's UK Industrial and UK Regional Services and his energy-environment expertise to European projects based on the use of CE's Energy-Environment-Economy model for Europe, E3ME.
Recent projects he has managed at CE include: CE's contribution to a
FP6 research project for the European Commission analysing the competitiveness
effects of environmental tax reforms in the European Union; a project
for the Environment Directorate of the European Commission on the economic,
social and environmental impacts of possible changes to the EU Emissions
Trading Scheme and a project reviewing the EU Energy Taxation Directive
for the Taxation Directorate of the European Commission. He is currently
leading a project for the Anglo-German Foundation, investigating the
major research issues related to resource productivity and environmental
tax reform (ETR) and sustainable growth in Europe. All four projects
are based on the use of CE's E3ME model. He is also presently leading CE's input to a project led by the Danish environmental and engineering consultancy COWI A/S for the Environment Directorate of the European Commission to inform the development of environmental policy at both the member-state and EU level and provide the basis of the Commission's annual Environment Policy Review report for 2008 due to be published in 2009.
He is also leading CE's contribution to a project that is investigating the major research issues related to the introduction of green tax reform in the UK, which is being carried out, on behalf of the UK Green Fiscal Commission (GFC) established to guide the work. CE's role within the project is to model illustrative scenarios to 2020 for green fiscal reform for the UK that give results for environmental impacts (particularly CO2 emissions), energy demand, fuel prices, GDP, employment, distributional effects within different economic sectors, and household income groups, and for key variables from household and transport energy consumption. The modelling is based on CE's energy-environment-economy model of the UK (MDM-E3). A major and innovative aspect of the modelling work in the study involves the further development by our collaborator, the Cambridge Centre for Climate Change Mitigation Research (4CMR), of the existing household energy consumption and transport submodels in MDM-E3 and the extension by CE of the UK model to analyse income distribution and material flows. He is currently managing a project for the Scottish Government to model the cost and level of reduction in carbon dioxide emissions from housing in Scotland.
Earlier in his work at CE he has managed a wide range of energy-environment-related
projects. These studies included modelling combined heat and power (CHP)
options for the UK to 2010 for the Department of Trade and Industry;
undertaking a scoping study to explore the economic value of the environment
to the Scottish economy for the Scottish Environmental Protection Agency
and a subsequent follow-on project for Scottish Natural Heritage; modelling
the impact of the Climate Change Programme for UK industrial emissions
for the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs; examining
the impact of the Climate Change Levy for HM Customs and Excise; developing
UK energy scenarios to 2010 to assess the scope for nuclear power for
British Nuclear Industry Forum; an analysis of the cost to businesses
of a failure to adopt best practice in the productive use of resources
for the Environment Agency and the Scottish Executive. He also devised
practical proposals with a package of support to assist the Yorkshire
and the Humber Assembly to develop a regional approach to the monitoring
and benchmarking of greenhouse gas emissions by local authorities. He
managed a project for the Carbon Trust, assessing, by means of scenario
analysis, the effectiveness of policy measures then current in the UK
Climate Change Programme (CCP). He also managed projects for DTI and
Defra, required as inputs to the official review of the CCP; these modelled
the impact of alternative policies, including the introduction of a CHP
Obligation or exempting CHP exports from the Renewables Obligation base,
and the effect of various allocation options for CHP within the National
Allocation Plan under Phase 2 of the EU ETS, on the development of CHP
capacity over the long term in relation to the Government's declared
targets.
Before joining CE, he was Associate Director, Economic Analysis at the
Confederation of British Industry, where he worked for 14 years. He had
primary responsibility for the team of economists and survey experts
which undertake the CBI’s highly regarded suite of business surveys
of the private sector, and for distilling economic intelligence from
these surveys to brief business and government leaders (including, for
example, a regular oral briefing for the Governor of the Bank of England).
He has extensive experience of giving formal economic presentations to
CBI regional councils, various member company audiences, and external
conferences, and briefing the key policy-making CBI Economics Committee
chaired by a FTSE 100 CEO. He was a prominent CBI media spokesperson
providing interviews and chairing press conferences on the CBI's surveys
and forecasts. He was responsible for the CBI's quarterly short-term
forecasts of the UK economy, based on its econometric model. He represented
the CBI at various international organisations including the European
Commission, the Forecasting Group of the European Employers' Confederation,
and OECD advisory bodies.
Image scanned from photograph taken by Dorothy Hahn
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