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Dr Terry Barker Chairman and Consultant MA (Edin), MA (Cantab), PhD (Cantab)
Presenting at this conference: First Global Conference
on Global Warming, Istanbul, July 6-10,
2008
'Urgent action needed on climate change' - New Europe, 15 April 2008
Nobel
Peace Prize
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(292kb)
Dr Barker is the Chairman of Cambridge Econometrics, having founded the company in 1985. Since 2005 he has also been the Director of the Cambridge Centre for Climate Change Mitigation Research (4CMR), Department of Land Economy, University of Cambridge. In addition, he is a member of the Editorial Board of Economic Systems Research.
He was a Co-ordinating Lead Author (CLA) for the the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Control (IPCC)’s Fourth Assessment Report, 2007, for the chapter on cross-sectoral mitigation. Previously he was CLA in the Third Assessment Report, 2001, taking responsibility for the chapter on the effects of greenhouse gas mitigation policies on the global energy industries. He was a member of the core writing team for the Synthesis Report Climate Change 2001.
From 2000 he instigated and worked on projects building a global E3 model (E3MG) with initial emphasis on modelling the E3 structures of China and Japan. Since 2004 he has been working as member of a UK Tyndall Centre project to develop E3MG as a 20-region world model, designed to analyse GHG mitigation policies under endogenous technological change. In the 1990s he was appointed the Project Co-ordinator of the pan-European project developing and applying the E3 model for Europe (E3ME), partly funded by the European Commission, analysing energy and fiscal policies including the equity effects of environmental fiscal reform. Previously he was Principal Investigator on projects funded under the ESRC’s Global Environmental Change Programme ‘Developing an E3 model of the UK economy’ and ‘Greenhouse gas abatement through fiscal policy’; the independent evaluators rated the outcome of the first of these projects as an outstanding contribution to knowledge. He worked with Professor Sir Richard Stone, the Nobel Laureate, in the Department of Applied Economics, becoming the Director of the Cambridge Growth Project 1983-87, a team of 8-10 economists that originally developed the (MDM) structural model of the British Economy.
His current research interests include:
- Real carbon prices, induced technological change and long-term economic growth
- Systematic modeling of policies to achieve the UK 60% CO2 reduction target
- Ex post evaluation of the UK Climate Change Levy
- Understanding and projecting UK investment in good quality CHP
- The effects of global warming on energy demand
Selected recent publications include:
- 'The economics of dangerous climate change', Editorial for the Special Issue of Climatic Change on "The Stern Review and its Critics", forthcoming, 2008.
- 'Climate policy: issues and opportunities', Chapter 1 in (eds) Hugh Compston and Ian Bailey Turning Down the Heat: The Politics of Climate Policy in Affluent Democracies, Palgrave, 2008.
- ‘Macroeconomic effects of climate policies for road transport: Efficiency agreements versus fuel taxation for the UK, 2000-2010’ Proceedings of the Transportation Research Board, Washington DC, 2007. (with Jonathan Rubin)
- ‘The costs of avoiding dangerous climate change: estimates derived from a meta-analysis of the literature’, submitted to The Journal of Human Development (with Katie Jenkins)
- ‘The macroeconomic costs of greenhouse gas mitigation with induced technological change: a meta-analysis’, submitted to Ecological Economics (with Mahvash Saeed Qureshi and Jonathan Köhler)
- ‘Carbon leakage from unilateral environmental tax reforms in Europe, 1995-2005’, Energy Policy 35, 2007, 6281–6292. (with Sudhir Junankar, Hector Pollitt and Philip Summerton) http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2007.06.021
- ‘The macroeconomic rebound effect and the UK economy’, Energy Policy 35, 2007, 4935–4946. (with Paul Ekins and Tim Foxon)
- ‘Macroeconomic effects of efficiency policies for energy-intensive industries: The case of the UK Climate Change Agreements, 2000-2010.’ Energy Economics 29(4): 760-778, July 2007. (Special Issue on Modeling Industrial Energy Use) [ISSN: 0140-9883, doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2006.12.008] (with Paul Ekins and Tim Foxon)
- ‘Testing the representative agent assumption: the distribution of parameters in a large-scale model of the EU 1972-98’, Applied Economic Letters, Vol. 13, 2006, pp. 395-398. (with Sebastian de-Ramon)
- ‘Decarbonizing the Global Economy with Induced Technological Change: Scenarios to 2100 using E3MG’, The Energy Journal 27: 241-258, April, 2006 (Special Issue on Induced Technological Change: Exploring its Implications for the Economics of Atmospheric Stabilization). (with Haoran Pan, Jonathan Köhler, Rachel Warren, and Sarah Winne)
- ‘The costs of Kyoto for the US economy’, The Energy Journal, Vol. 25 No. 3, 2004, pp.53-71. (with Paul Ekins)
He has acted as a consultant to many governments and international bodies, including Botswana, Canada, Mexico, Norway and the UK on questions of economic and industrial modelling and planning; he has given evidence to UK House of Commons Select Committees on Public Expenditure and Energy; and he has reviewed World and European modelling systems for the European Commission, the OECD, OPEC and the Commonwealth Secretariat.
He is also a trustee of the Cambridge Trust for New Thinking in Economics, a charitable organisation that owns the company.
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